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Spain has three alternatives: pain, bankruptcy or inflation

The Dutch financial prestigious Willem Buiter, recently appointed chief economist at Citigroup New York investor, is pessimistic about the future of our economy. In his view, growth will still take two years to arrive, and may be delayed even longer, depending on the size of government. In the words

granted an interview to El Mundo, published in the Sunday edition, Buiter is concerned by the English economy. In particular, notes that Spain has two main problems: employment and the excesses committed by the regional model. A dark future


In his view, the English economy will not grow in the next two years, and "if it takes more than necessary "to take action," the debt will continue to grow and credibility of Spain in the market weakened. "And," if Spain wants to have sustainable growth in the medium term, the best thing to do is have a control over their debt, "he says.
The tax increase can create more problems

However, Buiter encourages the government to remain cautious in its reforms. The employer is particularly concerned by the announced tax increases, because" strong tax reform may reduce competitiveness in the country. "

For the entrepreneur," The tax consequences of the crisis are already being noticed, so that both Europe and Spain only three alternatives: pain, bankruptcy or inflation. "However, it considers that there are countries worse off than ours, like Greece." The English debt is cyclical and not structural as in Greece, "but also" is troubling and have increased compared to its initial position.

http://www.eleconomista.es/economia/noticias/1874560/01/10/Espana-tiene-tres-alternativas-dolor-quiebra-o-inflacion.html

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A new dramatic year for jobs in Spain

When will the output of crisis? When the recovery of employment? The output of the crisis is not close, nor the recovery of employment, at least in Spain, at least for the business elite English. Is the main conclusion of the Global Survey of CEOs, which produces thirteen years PricewaterhouseCoopers, which has been presented in Davos.
The study shows that presidents and CEOs are less confident English on the release of the economic downturn well. Compared with 65% claiming that their countries are already recovering from the crisis or will in the short term, before the end of 2010, the English CEOs are in a position substantially more pessimistic: 76% believe that the recovery in our country does not come at the earliest, before 2011, also in line with the latest IMF forecasts known this week.
The survey reflects an increase in the level of confidence in the short term CEOs worldwide, ten-point increases over last year, reaching 31% of those shown "very confident." Again, in this case, declaring English CEOs less confident in the near future and only 23% of respondents are "very confident." If we look at medium-long term, the rise in confidence is matched both English and global level: 50% say they have much confidence in the prospects for growth in a three-year horizon.
The employment forecasts are bleak. Companies around the world will continue to reduce their workforce in 2010, although to a lesser extent than in the past twelve months. 48% of business leaders in the world claims to have trimmed staff over the past year, a figure that in the case of Spain amounts to 64%.
Looking ahead, English managers are also less optimistic: 44% plan to continue downsizing over the next twelve months, compared with 25% overall. It is significant that only 8% of English companies planning to increase staff compared to 39% of global CEOs. Threats
English
Senior managers show a greater degree of concern that their international colleagues about the risks that threaten their growth prospects, with an "anxiety index", measures the degree of concern about the threats of the business-40.1%, slightly above the global average -38.9% - and well above the European employers-33 , 7% -.
So yes there is agreement on the threats of greatest concern to senior executives around the world: the prolonged global recession, lack of stable capital markets, competition from low cost, over-regulation and the cost of energy.
The survey was conducted among more than 1,198 executives from 52 countries and 81 companies in Spain.
Some companies have perished with the crisis, others who have been touched and others, such as Geox, to the global recession has touched a glancing blow. A successful strategy has been analyzed in Davos.
GEOX What are you doing to address the crisis?
Be innovative and able to continually change should be an obligation for all companies. It is the only road to success, but not easy. GEOX has been able to innovate in a mature sector, footwear, introducing the famous "shoe that breathes", a patented technology in over one hundred countries. How to marry
investment and employment? Investment
is synonymous with employment. GEOX believe in it and is a clear example. I started this project fifteen years ago along with other four people and today the company has 30,000 employees.
What is your company's investment in R & D? GEOX
invests 2% of annual turnover in R & D. GEOX R & D Lab is a unique area where twenty engineers look for new solutions every day to improve your body's perspiration. We also collaborate closely with leading international universities.
How is it affecting the footwear sector Asian competition?
If there is no innovation, no one can survive Asian competition. This is what is happening to all small and medium enterprises which are not governed by the engine of innovation.

http://www.abc.es/20100131/economia-economia/solo-directivos-espera-aumentar-20100131.html

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A personal chronicle of the presentation of Irekia

Yesterday I had the opportunity to attend the presentation of Irekia , the portal for citizen participation that has launched the Basque Government. The event was visually and aesthetically appealing. Lehendakari addition, Patxi López, was attended by several directors of the Government, in line with the participatory philosophy Irekia , responded to questions from the public. In Initially questions were recorded on the street. Impinged on topics of general scope which were answered by competent counsel in the matter. I do not know how far they were prepared questions and answers.

Downstream were attending the event themselves that question directly. The crowd consisted of people in the field of internet and this was reflected in matters having a bearing on the questions, much more focused on self Irekia , OpenGovernment policy undertaken by the Basque government and citizen participation in general . This phase was much more dynamic and spontaneous. Questions were not always comfortable, although some respondents spoke lehendakari himself and the Minister of Justice and Public Administration, Idoia Mendia, the spotlight shifted to the director of Open Government and Communication in the Internet, Nagore de los Rios, primarily responsible for ; Irekia . Occasionally intervened Citizen's director, Alberto Ortiz de Zarate (@ alorza), when a question referred to the recent opening statement data. It missed the Minister of Education, Universities and Research, since some of the questions were related to technology policy and 2.0 of his department.
Recalling
specific questions, lehendakari vein had to take his politics when he questioned @ ketari by the Government's position regarding participation 1.0 tool such as the referendum. @ Agirregabiria became interested in the incidence of 2.0 initiatives in Education on the formation of a more participatory. I strive to remember, but I have very clear what was the response. @ MrLugosi asked about the strategy to adopt to attract participation. Nagore de los Rios said that while there was no clear strategy was very important to be aware that participation will be limited initially and that the initiative require patience and perseverance. Nagore also said the flow would follow the proposals and questions, even when they refer to powers of other institutions, this very pertinent question if we want citizens to have to do a master apparatus of institutional competencies to participate. @ Dakalito brought up the alleged use partisan opposition could make a platform as well.

Parallel to questions and answers are developing a virtual debate on Twitter it was possible to follow a front screen without any censorship. The problem was that the large number of messages with the tag # Irekia made soft drinks occur so quickly that it was sometimes impossible to read all the contributions. Blessed problem.

In short, good intentions and purposes, support at the highest level and a running tool. Moderate expectations about the role of the public. But nothing was talked about steps to ensure that workers and administration officials are receptive to such participation. In the end the devil may be in the details.

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Thinking tools to build multilingual communities

In a recent exchange of twits with Andrew Krzmarzick (@ krazykriz) after I made mention of a post of his in GovLoop, he asked me on how to make GovLoop more attractive to people who speak English. I replied that the aim should be to connect to people who speak different languages \u200b\u200band not to create niches for languages. Andrew proposed to put a button GovLoop X Translate to Google Translate to call and display the text on the page translated into language. It seemed a good idea because I use Translate, more to translate single words and expressions that full-text, and I think that although the translations are not perfect, it can obtain a sufficient understanding of the original, I'd say 70%.

by turning the issue, I see that the trend in the field of translation, as in many others, is to look for crowdsourcing. That is, let readers contribute their knowledge to refine the translation proposed by Google Translate to help understand the text to other readers. How would this?

I'm thinking of an online service built on Google Translate. The first time someone translated into any language requested a text within a web page, a post GovLoop for example, the proposal would be generated by Google Translate translation. The reader would get option to edit the translated text, tweak it and save the changes. The service will store the result and it would version that would show readers when they requested later translate the text into language. Would need to manage the competing issues and some aspects. The advantage of the system is that more readers have a translation would be perfect, so the quality would accommodate the interest in the message. The service, as many others on the Internet, it could be profitable with advertising that shows the translated pages and the payment for the services of the websites on which would be installed.

What do you think? Could it work?

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The risk of an unconscious reality

In a recent post I want a better world for my son , Antonio Galindo commented that humanity has become desensitized because of the poisoning of information, which Alfons Cornella called infoxication . I matizaría saying that humanity more than insensitive, it is becoming increasingly unconscious, that although this is not a new phenomenon, effectively present information society faces new situations people have not yet clear how face.

Antonio's reflection brought me to head a to TED conference of Daniel Goleman The father of the concept Emotional Intelligence, in which he wondered why most of the time we are not more compassionate and just attributed to lack of awareness , understood as non-abstract cognitive status that allows interaction, understanding and partnership with external stimuli, so-called reality. Goleman was saying that many times we fail to perceive what is happening right under our noses because we spend most of the time absorbed in our thoughts. And that's why we do not repair the opportunities before us to help others in need. I would add that no repair, no repair even how to help ourselves.

Using an open interpretation of the concept external stimuli, human evolution can be understood as something of a race to reach an ever wider reality, ie to increase the area from which you can receive external stimuli. Language, writing, printing, radio, television and telephone, among others, represent milestones in the race. The appearance of each of these means, if we call it, reality has allowed it not only larger but also more complex in the sense that they give people the ability to filter stimuli (I choose with whom I speak, who write, read or post to tune channel) thus giving them the ability to model reality.

But none of these methods by itself has had as much impact as the Internet to play in enabling people to increase and shape their reality. Only fifteen years ago all the people who lived in the same country or region we read the same newspapers, heard the same radio and watch the same TV channels. And the mass media was always unidirectional. The phone can communicate with people far away but does not significantly increase the magnitude of our contacts. Today Internet the current social Internet, allows people to communicate openly and massively bidirectionally. Allows a significant part of our reality in terms of time spent is virtual. And let this virtual reality modeling to virtually construct.

In such a complex reality it is difficult to define what is consciousness. We might be tempted to think of this virtual reality as the ultimate distraction to the true reality of physics. I once read something along these lines Sanchez-Drago . But even if we adopt a view so extreme, it is clear that the virtual world with its myriad of sources in real time facilitates the dispersion, so we spent a lot of time wandering from one idea to another without going never enough in any of them. That is, the absorption in pure state.

far I have not any certainty on the subject. But as Daniel Goleman notes and I believe, compassion and many other important things depend on our consciousness, we must find a personal and collective response to this issue to avoid getting into this terrible world that wants to spare Antonio Galindo your child.

Photo: Mike Agirregabiria Reality (www.agirregabiria.net/mikel/2005/realidad3.jpg)